熊市是怎么样的
在金融市场的起伏中,熊市是一个令人瞩目的阶段。那么,熊市究竟是怎样的呢?
首先,熊市通常伴随着股价的普遍下跌。有利好消息传出,股价却不涨反跌。市场不利消息不断,行情如兵败如山倒,众多股票纷纷跌停挂出。法人机构、大户大量出货,成交量明显放大,然而股价却滞涨。投资者信心受挫,纷纷弃权,除息除权的股票也毫无表现,人气涣散,纷纷抛售股票,导致股价快速下跌。
其次,从技术指标来看,6 日 RSI 呈明显下降趋势。同时,周边市场纷纷下跌,政府采取紧缩政策,物价上涨迅速。在这样的环境下,空头市场的操作原则至关重要,不追涨,不抄底,不幻想,不抱侥幸心理。具体到操作层面,不买貌似要涨的股票,不碰不创新低的股票,这适用于大多数非高手的股友。对于超跌股,反弹到位一定要走,要始终记住这只是反弹,而非反转。
再者,熊市的发展通常分为几个阶段。熊市第一期往往出现在市场投资气氛最高涨之时,此时市场绝对乐观,投资者对后市变化毫无戒心。各种利好消息充斥市场,公司业绩和盈利达到不正常的高峰,企业加速扩张,收购合并的消息频传。但当股价进一步攀升,成交量却无法跟上时,大跌便可能出现。而在熊市第二期,股票市场一有风吹草动,就会触发“恐慌性抛售”。市场热点众多,投资者难以选择而观望。在允许信用交易的市场,买空交易的投机者遭受沉重打击,被迫抛售,股价越跌越急。经过一轮疯狂抛售和股价急跌后,市场会出现一次较大的回升和反弹,但这只是中期性的,随后经济形势和上市公司前景恶化,股价再次大幅下挫。
此外,在熊市中,操作策略与多头市场截然不同。短线操作要快进快出,对于无暇了解行情的投资人,暂作休息是明智之举。同时,要注意区分初级反弹和阶段性反弹,避免将初级反弹误认作阶段性反弹而匆忙入市。在空头市场中,及时认赔止损非常重要,且强势个股相对集中,参与时需谨慎选择。
In the ups and downs of the financial market, the bear market is a remarkable stage. So, what exactly is a bear market like?
Firstly, a bear market is usually accompanied by a general decline in stock prices. Even when there are positive news, stock prices do not rise but fall instead. The market is constantly filled with adverse news, and the market situation collapses like a defeated army, with many stocks hitting the daily limit. Institutional investors and large shareholders sell off in large quantities. The trading volume significantly increases, but stock prices remain stagnant. Investor confidence is undermined, and they give up one after another. Stocks undergoing dividend and rights issues also show no performance. Sentiment is dispirited, and people rush to sell stocks, causing stock prices to fall rapidly.
Secondly, from a technical indicator perspective, the 6-day RSI shows a significant downward trend. At the same time, surrounding markets fall one after another, the government adopts a tightening policy, and prices rise rapidly. In such an environment, the operating principles in a bear market are crucial. Do not chase after rising stocks, do not bottom-fish, do not fantasize, and do not hold onto侥幸 psychology. Specifically, in terms of operations, do not buy stocks that seem to be rising, and do not touch stocks that do not hit new lows. This applies to most non-professional investors. For oversold stocks, be sure to exit when the rebound reaches a certain level. Always remember that this is only a rebound, not a reversal.
Furthermore, the development of a bear market usually goes through several stages. The first stage of a bear market often occurs when the market investment atmosphere is at its highest. At this time, the market is extremely optimistic, and investors have no caution about future market changes. All kinds of positive news floods the market, and the company's performance and profits reach abnormal peaks. Enterprises accelerate expansion, and news of mergers and acquisitions is frequent. However, when stock prices rise further, and trading volume fails to keep up, a significant decline may occur. In the second stage of the bear market, any slight disturbance in the stock market will trigger "panic selling". There are too many market hotspots, and investors hesitate due to the difficulty of choice and remain on the sidelines. In markets allowing credit trading, speculators engaged in short selling suffer heavy blows and are forced to sell, causing stock prices to fall more and more sharply. After a round of frantic selling and sharp stock price declines, the market will experience a relatively large recovery and rebound, but this is only a medium-term phenomenon. Subsequently, the economic situation and the prospects of listed companies deteriorate, and stock prices fall sharply again.
In addition, in a bear market, the operating strategy is completely different from that in a bull market. Short-term operations require quick entry and exit. For investors who have no time to understand the market situation, taking a temporary break is a wise choice. At the same time, it is necessary to distinguish between short-term rebounds and staged rebounds to avoid mistaking short-term rebounds for staged rebounds and rushing into the market. In a bear market, it is very important to recognize losses and stop losses in a timely manner, and strong stocks are relatively concentrated. Caution is needed when participating.