抱新股怎么炒
在当今的金融市场中,炒新股成为了许多投资者关注的焦点。那么,究竟如何才能正确地炒新股,获取理想的收益呢?
首先,要根据开盘价确定取舍。在集合竞价阶段,投资者需密切留意买卖双方的竞价情况。当开盘价低于心理价位时,可以适当参与,并力争以开盘价买入(开盘前以高于心理价进行委托),否则就选择放弃。初次买入数量一般为“炒新”总额的二分之一较为合适,另外一半资金则用于后续加仓。
其次,依据换手率来决定是否加仓。新股上市当天头半个小时的换手率往往能预示着该股全天乃至今后数日的走势。通常而言,开盘头 5 分钟换手率在 20%以上,15 分钟在 30%以上,30 分钟在 40%以上,全天换手率在 60%-70%之间是比较理想的。反之,则应放弃加仓的想法。
再者,根据股价波动来确定加仓时机。即使换手率符合预期,也仍要根据股价在短时间内的剧烈波动来选择加仓的时机。开盘后,若股价出现瞬间急涨,应放弃加仓,保持观望。相反,若出现短线急跌,则应利用余下的二分之一资金迅速“抢”进。此时,投资者建仓新股的平均成本就在最低价之上、开盘价之下,多数情况下会低于市场的平均成本,从而为获利争得了主动。
同时,还应关注公司的基本面情况。关注公司所属行业、低位、大股东实力及募集资金的投向。如果该公司所属行业是朝阳产业,特别是那些具有充分想象空间的朝阳产业,其股价一般定价较高,且容易获得较大上升空间。而大股东实力越强,上市公司就越有可能获得更多的支持。募集资金投向可帮助股民判断公司未来、成长性。
此外,分析新股上市定价在当时环境下的合理性也很重要。上市定价受大盘和板块热点的影响较大。如果大盘连续上涨,而该股又是题材股或热点股,则其定价就相对较高。另外,上市前其他新股也屡炒屡胜,则该股定价也会较高。如果上市其他新股股价大都高开低走,那么该股上市定价就会较低。如果新股有利好的消息,那么很可能受到较大的炒作。
最后,关注上市后首日的换手率。换手率是判断未来股价走势的关键。如果新股上市首日的换手率适中,买卖较活跃,预示着有资金介入,后市可重点关注。
In today's financial market, investing in new stocks has become the focus of many investors. So, how can we correctly invest in new stocks and obtain ideal returns?
Firstly, the choice should be based on the opening price. During the call auction stage, investors need to closely monitor the bidding situation of both buyers and sellers. When the opening price is lower than the psychological price, it is appropriate to participate and strive to buy at the opening price (place an order higher than the psychological price before the opening), otherwise, give up. The initial purchase quantity is generally half of the total amount for "investing in new stocks", and the other half of the funds is used for subsequent additions.
Secondly, the decision to add positions is based on the turnover rate. The turnover rate in the first half-hour of a new stock's listing often predicts the stock's trend for the entire day and even the following days. Generally speaking, a turnover rate of more than 20% in the first 5 minutes, more than 30% in 15 minutes, more than 40% in 30 minutes, and a full-day turnover rate of 60%-70% is relatively ideal. On the contrary, the idea of adding positions should be abandoned.
Furthermore, the timing of adding positions is determined based on stock price fluctuations. Even if the turnover rate meets expectations, the timing of adding positions still needs to be selected based on the sharp fluctuations of the stock price in a short period. After the opening, if the stock price experiences a sudden sharp increase, give up adding positions and remain on the sidelines. Conversely, if there is a short-term sharp decline, the remaining half of the funds should be used to quickly "snap up". At this time, the average cost of the investor's position in the new stock is above the lowest price and below the opening price, and in most cases, it will be lower than the market average cost, thus gaining the initiative for profit.
At the same time, attention should also be paid to the fundamental situation of the company. Pay attention to the company's industry, position, strength of major shareholders, and the direction of raised funds. If the company's industry is a sunrise industry, especially those with sufficient imagination space, its stock price is generally priced higher and is likely to gain a larger upward space. The stronger the major shareholders, the more likely the listed company is to receive more support. The direction of raised funds can help investors judge the company's future and growth.
In addition, it is also important to analyze the rationality of the new stock's listing price under the current circumstances. The listing price is greatly influenced by the broader market and sector hotspots. If the broader market continues to rise and the stock is a thematic or hot stock, its pricing will be relatively high. Moreover, if other new stocks were frequently successful before listing, the pricing of this stock will also be higher. If the stock prices of other new stocks mostly opened high and fell low, then the listing price of this stock will be lower. If there is good news for the new stock, it is likely to be subject to significant speculation.
Finally, pay attention to the turnover rate on the first day after listing. The turnover rate is the key to judging the future stock price trend. If the turnover rate of the new stock on the first day of listing is moderate and trading is active, it indicates that there is capital intervention, and the aftermarket can be focused on.