美元为什么一直跌?
自2022年以来,美元指数一路震荡下跌,最低曾跌破95关口。尽管近期略有反弹,但整体趋势仍向下。美元的持续下跌引发了全球市场的广泛关注和讨论。本文将从经济、政治和货币政策等方面分析美元持续下跌的原因。英文翻译:
Why has the US dollar been falling since 2022?
Since 2022, the US dollar index has been falling, with a minimum price of below 95 points. Although it has rebounded slightly recently, the overall trend remains downward. The sustained decline of the US dollar has attracted widespread attention and discussion in the global market. This article analyzes the reasons for the continuous decline of the US dollar from economic, political, and monetary policy perspectives.
- 经济原因:美国经济增长放缓。自疫情爆发以来,美国经济遭受重创,尽管在疫苗接种和大规模财政刺激措施的推动下,经济复苏迅速,但随着时间的推移,经济增长的势头逐渐减弱。此外,美国通胀压力持续上升,消费者物价指数(CPI)不断刷新近40年来的最高纪录,导致美联储不得不加快收紧货币政策,进而引发美元汇率下跌。英文翻译:
Economic reasons: The US economic growth is slowing down. Since the outbreak of the pandemic, the US economy has been hit hard, and although it recovered rapidly with vaccine rollout and large-scale fiscal stimulus measures, the momentum of economic growth has gradually weakened over time. Additionally, the US inflation pressure continues to rise, with the consumer price index (CPI) hitting record highs in nearly 40 years, causing the Federal Reserve to accelerate the tightening of monetary policy, which in turn led to a decline in the US dollar exchange rate.
- 政治原因:美国政治局势动荡不安。2021年1月6日,美国国会大厦遭到特朗普支持者暴力闯入,引发了严重的政治危机。此后,美国政治局势一直处于紧张状态,政治分歧和党派斗争不断加剧。这种政治动荡导致投资者对美元的信心下降,进而推动美元汇率下跌。英文翻译:
Political reasons: The political situation in the United States is turbulent and unstable. On January 6, 2021, the US Capitol building was violently stormed by Trump supporters, which sparked a serious political crisis. Since then, the political situation in the United States has remained tense, with political divisions and partisan disputes intensifying. This political unrest has led to a decrease in investors' confidence in the US dollar, which in turn has pushed down the exchange rate of the US dollar.